Household: field battle in the assembly, with the ax from 49.3

Household: field battle in the assembly, with the ax from 49.3

When will the cleaver of 49.3 fall? MEPs begin the turbulent scrutiny of the 2023 budget in the hemicycle on Monday, a text the government is already preparing to adopt without a vote due to the lack of an absolute majority for the Macronists.

The meeting was scheduled to open at 4 p.m. with the intervention of ministers and the various political groups. Then, on Tuesday, the assembly is expected to start addressing the more than 3,000 amendments to this first part of the Finance Law (PLF), which include in particular a €45 billion “tariff protection” against the explosion in energy prices.

MEPs must first consider the 2023-2027 budget. Less important than the PLF, this programming bill was rejected in committee last week, much to the chagrin of the government, which fears consequences for the payments of European funds to France.

It’s a whole budget marathon that begins through December, shrouded in the uncertainties of this new seething assembly since June’s general election that stripped Emmanuel Macron of an absolute majority.

Too expensive for the right, “austerity” for the left, Brussels “proposes” according to the RN: the opposition has ruled out supporting this 2023 budget and the “Bercy dialogues” launched in September by the government with MPs of all were organized pages have not changed.

Recourse to Article 49(3) of the Constitution therefore seems inevitable. In the hands of the executive, this instrument allows a text to be passed without a vote, unless a motion of no confidence is passed.

“Our responsibility will be to engage 49.3 sufficiently early when the opposition blocks debate morning, noon and night,” hammered out Renaissance MP leader Aurore Bergé on Sunday.

Based on optimistic economic assumptions, this financing scheme strikes a balancing act between wanting to “protect” the French from rising energy prices and not increasing debt.

The course set is intended to curb the state deficit to 5% of GDP, despite a “tariff protection shield”, an increase in the number of teachers and the creation of more than 10,000 civil servant positions, including 3,000 police officers and gendarmes.

– “To the next euro” –

Economics Minister Bruno Le Maire has already warned that “no new spending” can be introduced during the parliamentary debate if it is not “financed down to the next euro”, leaving little to grind.

However, opponents will not hesitate to advance their pawns.

Government economic forecasts as of September 23, 2022 (AFP/Archives – )

The idea of ​​taxing “crisis profiteers” will make a comeback in the Chamber. The left opposition Nupes (LFI, PS, PCF and EELV) hopes for a referendum on these “super profits” but immediately proposes a tax on the extraordinary profits of the largest companies.

Weakened by the Quatennens and Bayou affairs, the Nupes hope to bounce back on the social front even as the government has stalled on pension reform, and are calling for a march “against the high cost of living” on March 16. October on.

The RN is also pushing for the taxation of “super profits”, but a majority rejects the idea of ​​a new tax aimed at all sectors of the economy. And refers to the agreement that is being concluded at European level to include energy companies.

MEPs should also sidestep the phasing out of the CVAE, a production tax, from 2023. A measure contested by the nupes, who are hoping for allies on the right on this point, but also by majority MPs, sensitive to the dissatisfaction of the local authorities who are levying this tax.

Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne tried to calm the situation on Friday by promising an increase in her total operating subsidy (DGF) to 320 million euros instead of the 210 million originally announced.

With so many sensitive issues, “something will happen every day in the plenary hall. We’re often beaten,” fears a frame of the presidential majority.

The Macronists got a taste of it in committee, where they lost a number of votes, including the rejection of the introductory article setting the target of containing the government deficit at 5% of GDP.


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