Midterms: A significantly weaker result than the Republicans had hoped for, Trump weakened
Alexis Guilleux (in the United States), edited by Laura Laplaud
Weakened by his colts’ poor performance in the midterm elections, Donald Trump does not seem determined to give up his big return to the political arena: the former head of state is expected to announce his candidacy for the 2024 presidential election on Tuesday Known for his unpredictability, Donald Trump, who has been toying with the idea of competing for months may change his schedule at the last minute. However, a withdrawal would be difficult as it has raised expectations. This speech “will probably be the most important in the history of the United States,” said the superlative-loving real estate magnate in a message to his supporters.
The predicted “giant wave” did not materialize
When Donald Trump came to power in 2016, in what was the greatest modern political surprise, he flouted all customs throughout his presidency before leaving Washington after losing to Joe Biden – whom he never recognized. This new candidacy would therefore be his third in the White House. Rumors of an impending announcement had been mounting in recent weeks, with the 70-year-old determined to use the Republicans’ expected success in the Nov. 8 election to regain power. But the “giant wave” confidently predicted by the conservatives failed to materialize.
President Biden’s party secured control of the Senate over the weekend. The Republicans still hope to take over the House of Representatives from the Democrats, but have had to scale back their ambitions significantly after dreaming of a supermajority of more than 60 seats.
“This is the third election in a row Donald Trump has made us lose”
This more than mixed performance by the Republican camp, particularly the candidates baptized by Donald Trump, has cast doubt on his reputation as a kingmaker. Several influential voices from the conservative camp immediately called for a changing of the guard within the “Grand Old Party”, casting a shadow over their presidential plans. “This is the third election in a row that Donald Trump has let us lose,” Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan told CNN on Sunday. “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing and expecting a different result,” he continued.
“The election was rigged”, “we must organize a new election immediately,” Donald Trump swept his social network, thus replaying a well-known division that millions of his supporters still adhere to. Because the real estate tycoon enjoys undeniable popularity among his base, a tide of red hats continues to flow to his campaign rallies. The polls still certify him a Republican primary victory.
Donald Trump faces a number of obstacles
Tuesday’s announcement is also widely seen as a way to pull the rug out from under his potential Republican rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a new far-right star that a section of the conservative was beginning to lean towards.
Another obstacle that could complicate Donald Trump’s rise to the White House: his numerous legal problems, which could end up disqualifying him. The former president is the target of multiple investigations for his role in the attack on Congressional headquarters on January 6, 2021, or his administration of the White House archives. But Donald Trump, whose fall has been announced thousands of times, has so far survived all scandals, relying on an “instinct” that has always been put forward. As if, by virtue of accumulation, they no longer had him under control.
The 2024 election could then be a repeat of the 2020 election after current Democratic President Joe Biden on Wednesday reiterated his “intent” to run for a second term. But he was careful to delay any final decision until next year because his age (nearly 80) and unpopularity mean the prospect doesn’t appeal to all Democrats.
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